FINANCIAL TIMES
12-11-17

 

TPP deal ignites criticism of US isolation on trade

 

Pacific Rim countries press on without America as Trump wins limited gains in Vietnam

 

Shawn Donnan in Washington and John Reed in Da Nang

 

A weekend move by Japan and 10 other Pacific nations to press ahead with a vast regional trade agreement without the US has prompted fresh criticism that Donald Trump’s “America First” trade policy is leaving Washington increasingly isolated. 

 

The 11 remaining members of the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which the Obama administration spent years negotiating and Mr Trump pulled out of on his third day in office, announced on Saturday that they had reached agreement on the “core elements” of a deal to proceed without the US. 

 

The group still has work to do, as Canada, Malaysia and Vietnam seek changes to an agreement they have rebadged — at Canada’s request — as the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership. 

 

But officials said the plan was to sign a final agreement early next year, in a deal that would eliminate the tariffs on 95 per cent of goods traded in a bloc covering some 500m people and more than $10tn in economic output. 

 

“This will send out a very strong message to the US and to other Asia-Pacific countries,” said Toshimitsu Motegi, the Japanese economy minister. 

 

The announcement came as Mr Trump continued to press the case for a rewriting of the US trade relationship with countries in Asia via bilateral trade deals and to push for a new “Indo-Pacific” strategy. 

 

During a weekend meeting with his Vietnamese counterpart the US president complained about “a very substantial trade imbalance with Vietnam”. 

 

“We want to get that straightened out very quickly,” Mr Trump said. 

 

A joint statement issued on Sunday after the meeting appeared to point to limited gains for the US, however. It hailed a Vietnamese move to allow access for US distillers grains and mentioned continuing discussions on the trade in products and services including shrimp, mangoes and electronic payments. 

 

The president and the White House were pointing to the way his Asia trip had been celebrated in China, Japan and other stops along the way. But critics charge that, on the trade front at least, the administration looks increasingly like it is being outmanoeuvred by Beijing and others. 

 

“I think everyone was polite to him and they want to make him think that they are all chummy and willing to do things with him. But I have to think in some ways they are laughing behind his back, and certainly the Chinese are,” one US business lobbyist told the Financial Times on Sunday. “I don’t think any of them have any intention of getting into a deal with him, certainly not on the terms that he wants.” 

 

Michael Froman, who led the US TPP negotiations under the Obama administration, said that the renewed agreement “shows how our allies and partners continue to see the value of putting in place high standards and tearing down trade barriers across the region. Clearly, as the US retreats, the rest of the world is moving on”. 

 

 “This Administration has spent nearly a year dithering and still lacks any serious strategy for the engagement with Asia in order to open those markets to exports of American goods and services,” said Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the influential Senate Finance Committee. “Because of this failure to effectively engage, [American] farmers, ranchers, manufacturers, and service providers will lose business in the Asia Pacific markets.” 

 

Matthew Goodman, who has served as a top adviser on Asian economics to both Republican and Democratic presidents, said the good news about the remaining members of the TPP pressing ahead was that it would put new rules on state-owned enterprises and free data flows into practice. It also left the door open to the US rejoining the agreement someday. 

 

“It does give the US a path back to participating in broader regional economic integration,” he said. “I don’t think it’s a path that we are going to follow in the near-term. But at least it’s a path.”